College football picks against the spread: Bruce Feldman’s Week 4 selection


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I had a mediocre week, going 6-5 against the spread. The Good: Pulling off another special upset by picking Mizzou to beat K-State. Bad: Expecting Colorado to crush Colorado State. The ugly: Vols picking to beat Florida by double digits. On the season, I’m now six games over .500 against the numbers.

Here are this week’s predictions.

Check out Stewart Mandel’s picks.

(All point spreads come from BetMGM, click here for live odds, all kickoff times Eastern.)

No. 2 Michigan (-24), Rutgers at Noon, Big Ten Network

Greg Schiano’s team has given Michigan some problems since returning to RU. The score was within seven points in 2020 and 2021, and last year Rutgers led in the third quarter before being blown out. This is probably Schiano’s best team in his second stint, and I think the Knights will be around again for a while.

Michigan 38, Rutgers 17
Selection: Rutgers +24

No. 4 Florida State (-2.5) at Clemson, Noon, ABC

Maybe the Knowles got stuck looking forward to it and walked out of BC with a win. I think FSU has a big edge in the passing game and will handle a tough road environment.

Florida State 28, Clemson 17
Selection: Florida State -2.5

No. 19 Colorado at No. 10 Oregon (-20.5), 3:30 p.m., ABC

Losing Travis Hunter has hurt CU’s offense a lot, but it will hurt the defense even more. The Ducks have an experienced, playmaking QB and they’re much better and deeper on both lines, and the feeling here is that they’ll blow away in the second half.

Oregon 49, Colorado 24
Selection: Oregon -20.5

No. 22 UCLA at No. 11 Utah (-4.5), 3:30 p.m., Fox

The Utes have been tested more than the Bruins, and UCLA has a lot of freshmen and an inexperienced QB who is going to be in a really tough place to play.

Utah 24, UCLA 23
Selection: UCLA +4.5

No. 15 Ole Miss at No. 13 Alabama (-7), 3:30 PM, CBS

Lane Kiffin’s team was unprepared for its final trip to Tuscaloosa and lost 28–0 at halftime. However, this Tide team is nowhere near as good. But the guess here is that Nick Saban’s defense will force some turnovers, especially late, and come out with a win.

Alabama 30, Ole Miss 28
Selection: Ole Miss +7

No. 18 Duke at UConn (-21.5), 3:30 PM, CBS Sports Network

The Huskies aren’t as competitive as they were last season, and this Duke team is playing with a lot of confidence and should beat Jim Mora’s group.

Duke 38, UConn 7
Selection: Duke -21.5

Arkansas at No. 12 LSU (-17.5), 7 p.m., ESPN

Going to Tiger Stadium on Saturday night is a tough challenge for a Hogs team that recently lost a tough game to BYU. Also, the Tigers were really fast in Starkville last weekend. Their offense looks oiled up and ready to roll at home.

LSU 40, Arkansas 17
Selection: LSU-17.5

No. 14 Oregon State (-3) at No. 21 Washington State, 7 p.m., Fox

Jonathan Smith probably has the more physical team, but the Cougars are looking really good on offense, and it won’t be easy for DJ Uiagalelei and company. Smith is 0-2 at Washington State since taking over at his alma mater, but I think his team is strong enough to come out with a win this time.

Oregon State 28, Washington State 27
Selection: Washington State +3

No. 24 Iowa at No. 7 Penn State (-14.5), 7:30 p.m., CBS

Big test for Drew Elar. I think he passes it because he has enough weapons to make some plays and defend. And The home field edge is too much for the Hawkeyes.

Penn State 24, Iowa 10
Selection: Iowa +14.5

No. 5 USC (-34.5) at Arizona State, 10:30 p.m., Fox

The Sun Devils are stumbling right now. Last year, Arizona State came within 10 midway through the fourth quarter. It turns into a debacle before halftime because one team has perhaps the most explosive offense in the country – and the other team has the worst.

USC 54, Arizona State 9
Selection: USC-34.5

Feldman is particularly upset.
No. 6 Ohio State (-3) at No. 9 Notre Dame, 7:30 p.m., NBC

Last year the Irish played a very tough game at Ohio State and the Buckeyes had a huge advantage at QB. Now, the Irish have a huge advantage and they are the home team. I think Marcus Freeman’s defense is athletic enough to slow down Ohio State, and Notre Dame has enough firepower to get its biggest win in years.

Notre Dame 31, Ohio State 27
Selection: Notre Dame +3

(Photo Audric Esteem: Justin Casterline/Getty Images)


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