In the fourth phase, the BJP is sitting comfortably on these 13 UP seats. Political Plus News


Thirteen seats going to polls in Uttar Pradesh on Monday in the fourth phase of the Lok Sabha elections include constituencies close to the Samajwadi Party's heartland. However, in the last two general elections, the BJP has won all of them, except Kanauj, which was won by SP's Dimple Yadav in 2014.

While the BJP will look to repeat the feat, especially in the SP's prestige seats of Kanauj and Ettawa, another constituency where it will hope to repeat its trick – Ajay Mishra 'Tini' – Lakhimpur is Kheri. Union Minister of State for Home Teni's son is accused of killing four people during farmers' protests in 2021. While the case is still ongoing, Tenney's boss, Union Home Minister Amit Shah, made a recent public promise in practice. meeting that he would make Tenney a 'big man' If he wins.

In 13 seats – five of them reserved – Dalits and OBCs make up the bulk of the vote bank, with Muslims also in good numbers.

Kanauj: 2019 winner BJP: 49.37% votes; Runner Up: 48.29%

The most prominent constituency is Kanauj, where the SP chief Akhilesh Yadav is contesting the elections for the fourth time.by winning
2000, 2004 and 2009 consecutively. Congress leader Rahul Gandhi, besides Aam Aadmi Party's Sanjay Singh, campaigned for Akhilesh in the last phase.

Rahul Gandhi Lok Sabha Elections 2024 Congress leader Rahul Gandhi and Samajwadi Party president Akhilesh Yadav during a rally in Kanauj district on Friday. (Photo: PTI)

Akhilesh is up against BJP's Subrat Pathak, who won in 2019 by defeating Dimple Yadav and BSP's Imran Bin Jaffer. BJP leaders admitted that until the last-minute entry of Akhilesh, replacing his nephew Tej Pratap, they had hoped for an easy victory for Pathak again.

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While the BSP's decision to field Jafar may cost the SP some Muslim and Dalit votes – both constituencies are large – Akhilesh will attract a large chunk of them. It is also expected to get some votes from OBC groups like Pal, Lodhi and Kurmi, which are in substantial numbers.

In his campaign, the SP highlighted the attack by Pathak and his supporters on the Mandi police post in Kanauj on June 2 last year to “rescue” one of his supporters from police custody. The investigation is pending.

Lakhimpur Kheri: 2019 winner BJP: 53.63% votes; Runner Up: 34.38%

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In Lakhimpur Kheri, Teni is pitted against SP's Utkarish Verma and BSP's Anshe Kalra. Despite pressure for Teni's resignation following the protest deaths of four farmers, the BJP has not relented, continuing with the MP, who has been winning elections here since the 2012 assembly polls.

While Teni's son Ashish was in jail for a few months after the incident, he is now out on bail from the Supreme Court. Apart from this, BJP won all the five assemblies falling on the Kheri Lok Sabha seat in the 2022 assembly elections.

Both SP and BSP talked about the 2021 event in their campaigns. However, their candidates are considered no competition for Tenney.

SPK Verma, who lost the 2022 assembly elections, is contesting his first Lok Sabha election. Their best bet would be the Muslim vote (more personnel than others) in addition to OBC support.

BSP's Kalra has never contested an election before, apart from being an “outsider”, a businessman working in Delhi and NCR. He has been elected to the seat with an eye on Sikhs, about 2% of the population, who were at the forefront of farm protests. Kalra also hopes to get Dalit votes.

Ettawa (SC-Reserve): 2019 winner BJP: 50.80% votes; Runner Up: 44.53%

In this particular constituency, Saifai is the native village of SP founder Mulayam Singh Yadav. While this makes the seat symbolically important for the SP, which won it in 1996, 1999, 2004 and 2009, the BJP was victorious in 2014 and 2019. In 1991, the winning candidate from Ettawa was BSP founder Kanshi Ram.

The BJP has fielded Ramashankar Katheria, who won in 2014 but was shifted by the party to Agra in 2019. SP has fielded Jitendra Dohre and BSP has fielded Sarika Singh.

Dalits form the largest group in Ottawa, with various OBC groups outnumbering them, with the Yadavs being the largest. Muslims are also in good numbers.

Kanpur: 2019 winner BJP: 55.63% votes; Runner Up: 37.13%

An industrial and commercial hub of UP, the seat used to be a Congress stronghold, from which Shri Prakash Jaiswal won in 1999, 2004 and 2009. In 2014, he lost to BJP veteran Murali Manohar Joshi, and in 2019 to BJP's Satyadev Pachori.

However, given the past history of the Congress in Kanpur, it sought the seat as part of its alliance with the SP.

BJP has fielded Ramesh Awasthi against Alok Mishra of Congress and Kuldeep Bhadoria of BSP. All three are contesting their first Lok Sabha elections.

While both Awasthi and Mishra are Brahmins, a community that wields a lot of influence in the constituency, the BSP has to go with an upper caste leader, a Kshatriya, given its numbers in the constituency.

According to sources, sitting MP Pachuri, a long-time BJP and RSS man, is unlikely to cross the unofficial age limit of 75 years again. Awasthi, the BJP's alternate candidate, is a former journalist from the RSS.

Alok Mishra runs an educational institution.

Apart from upper castes, Muslims, Dalits and OBCs, especially Kurmis, are in good numbers in the seat.

Akbarpur: 2019 winner BJP: 56.69% votes; Runner Up: 29.86%

The headquarters of Kanpur Dehat district, Akbarpur is the hometown of former President Ram Nath Kovind and Mayawati won from here in 1998, 1999 and 2004. The seat was won by BJP's Devendra Singh Bhole last two times. Repeat again.

Former Congress MP Raja Rampal is the SP candidate from this seat (2009). BSP has given ticket to Rajesh Dwivedi, a Brahmin.

OBCs are in majority in the constituency, followed by upper castes, Dalits and Muslims.

Annan: 2019 winner BJP: 56.87% votes; Runner-up: 24.46%

The BJP ticket from Unnao has once again gone to its controversial MP Swami Satchidanand Hari Sakshi alias Sakshi Maharaj, who will take on SP's Anu Tandon and BSP's Ashok Kumar Pandey.

Tandon won Unnao for the Congress in 2009, but lost in the 2014 and 2019 elections, which were won by Sakshi Maharaj. But the SP depends on the popularity of a local strongman in the party, who has the support of Brahmins and Dalits. Also, Brahmins are believed to be angry with the BJP for ignoring the community for a re-ticket.

Sakshi Maharaj is an OBC Lodhi, who dominates the seat, and has even coined a slogan reflecting her confidence: 'Dhai Lakh Lodhi-Baki Sab Modi (2.5 Lakh Lodhi, Baki Modi)'. According to BJP leaders in the region, they will also easily capture the Kshatriya and Dalit votes for the third time in a row.

Farrukhabad: 2019 winner BJP: 56.82% votes; Runner Up: 34.72%

In Farrukhabad, the BJP has repeated Mukesh Rajput, Lodh, who is in large numbers with the complainants in the seat. Apart from their own caste base, Rajputs are relying on Modi and Ram Mandir factors.

Last two-time winner Rajput is up against SPK Naval Kishore Shakia, who is expected to get Shakya votes. BSP has fielded upper caste Kranti Pandey.

Bahraich (SC-Reserve): 2019 winner BJP: 53.14% votes; Runner-up: 40.13%

This seat borders Nepal, where Muslims are the majority, followed by OBCs and Dalits. BJP has fielded its 2019 winning candidate Akshebar Lal Gond's son Anand Gond.

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The region is often affected by floods caused by water released from Nepal, and more than 89% of its population is rural, with farmers playing a decisive role here.

Shahjahanpur (SC-Reserve): 2019 winner BJP: 58.09% votes; Runner Up: 35.46%

Until the seat was secured, it was known as a Congress stronghold before 2014. After Jitendra Prasad's consecutive wins from here, his son Jatin won the seat in 2004. Now Jitan Pillai is contesting election in BJP. The constituency was later won by the SP until it was captured by the BJP in 2014.

Suresh Khanna, the finance minister in the Adityanath government and considered close to the chief minister, hails from the district. BJP candidate Arun Kumar Sagar is pitted against SP's Jyotsana Gond and BSP's Dodram Verma.

BJP hopes to get upper caste votes here apart from Dalits.

Misrekh (SC-Reserve): 2019 winner BJP: 52.05% votes; Runner Up: 42.25%

In Misrekh, the BJP has repeated Ashok Rawat, who has a strong hold on the seat and the BSP won from here in 2004 and 2009.

The SP's presence in this seat is minimal, despite the fact that with the Dalit vote split, it is the OBCs who are the deciding factor in Misrekh, and include Yadav, Karmi, Gadari, Kachhi and Kahar. .

Sitapur: 2019 winner BJP: 48.33% votes; Runner Up: 38.86%

While sitting MP Rajesh Verma is the BJP candidate, the other main contenders, SP's Rakesh Rathore and BSP's Mahendra Yadav, used to be BJP MLAs.

OBCs, Dalits and Muslims comprise a portion of the electorate, Kurmi being the largest group among OBCs.

Dhurrah: 2019 winner BJP: 48.21% votes; Runner Up: 33.12%

In Dhorahra, the BJP has re-elected its two-time MLA Rekha Verma. OBCs are in the majority here, followed by Brahmins and Dalits.

Verma faces some challenge from BSP candidate Shyam Kishore Awasthi, an influential local leader who defected from the BJP after being denied a ticket. SPK Anand Bhaduria, a former student union leader and former MLC, is believed to be close to Akhilesh. However, SP never fared well here.

Hardoi (SC-Reserve): 2019 winner BJP: 53.72% votes; Runner Up: 41.20%

BJP has replaced its two-time winning MP Anshul Verma with Jai Prakash.

After the Dalits, the largest group here is the upper caste. SP's Usha Verma has supported Yadavs and Muslims, while BSP has fielded Bhimrao Ambedkar.

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