IPL 2024 Playoff Qualification Scenario Explained: CSK, RCB regain momentum; DC is almost finished


After the final double-header day before the IPL playoffs, RCB and CSK have kept their playoff hopes alive while Delhi Capitals, despite a strong showing midway through the tournament, is out of the race for the IPL 2024 playoffs. With eight more matches left in the league stage, only KKR have confirmed a playoff spot, while RR may be in pole position to claim the second playoff spot, but their third consecutive defeat means they are in a vulnerable position. . SRH, currently placed third, has a chance of an extra game compared to its nearest rivals CSK, RCB and DC. Here's a look at possible IPL 2024 playoff qualification scenarios and what teams have to do

IPL 2024 Playoff Qualification Scenario

Kolkata Knight Riders – KKR have qualified and are on top of the IPL 2024 points table with 18 points.

remaining matches

KKR have sealed a top-4 spot after defeating MI in a rain-interrupted match in Kolkata last night, and with two more games remaining, they will now look to seal a top-two finish. They can go as high as 22 points, which would equal the record for most points scored in the league stage. They will face GT in Ahmedabad and then RR in Jaipur in their final two fixtures, and it will be their final league game against Rajasthan that could decide the top-two finish of IPL 2024.

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Rajasthan Royals-RR are currently at the second position in the points table with 16 points.

remaining matches

The loss to CSK yesterday was Rajasthan Royals' third defeat in a row, and despite being dominant for most of the league so far, RR are showing signs of weakening. They still have two games left and need just one win to seal a place in the playoffs. Their remaining two games are at home – against PBKS and table-topper KKR. The game against knock-out PBKS will be their best chance to get the cue. A win for RR will ensure that none of CSK, RCB, DC or LSG can overtake them in the points table. But, if RR loses both its remaining matches and remains on 16 points, there are chances that three other teams can also reach 16 points. In that situation NRR can come into play, and SRH and CSK can go above RR. LSG, even if they get 16 points, are highly unlikely to overtake RR in NRR. Hence, RR will advance even if they lose their remaining two games.

Chennai Super Kings-CSK are currently at third place in the points table with 14 points.

remaining matches

CSK's win over RR means CSK can push for a playoff spot in their final league game against RCB in Bengaluru. This match will become a virtual knockout due to RCB's position in the table. If CSK wins, they will have 16 points, eliminating RCB, but will still have to seal a place in the playoffs as RR can go out of reach of CSK with two wins and so can SRH. LSG can go level with CSK in terms of points, and if LSG gets a big win, NRR can decide the last spot. But LSG may have a better NRR, and it is unlikely that they will be able to overtake CSK despite scoring impressive wins in their remaining two matches. So, a win against RCB will more or less ensure a place in the playoffs for CSK. What if they lose? In that situation, CSK will have to ensure that they do not lose by more than 18 runs (if RCB scores 200) to keep themselves above RCB's NRR despite the loss. If they lose, they will hope that SRH lose their remaining two games and LSG also ensure at least one defeat. This way, CSK's entry into the top 4 will be ensured.

Sunrisers Hyderabad – SRH are currently placed fourth on the IPL 2024 points table with 14 points.

remaining matches

srh vs gt

srh vs pbks

SRH may be slightly ahead in sealing the third IPL 2024 playoff spot, but there is no guarantee that SRH can succeed in it. With 14 points and two games remaining, SRH can reach the 18-point mark, which would ensure a playoff spot, but a loss in either of their last two games will leave them vulnerable. Either CSK and LSG or DC can be level with SRH in terms of points, and if SRH loses both their last two games, they can finish behind CSK and LSG in the points table. SRH's opponents in the last two matches are GT and PBKS. A win in both games will seal their playoff spot, and if RR takes the lead in their last two games, SRH can aim for a top-two finish as well.

Royal Challengers Bangalore- RCB is currently at seventh position in the points table with 10 points.

remaining matches

With their fifth consecutive win, RCB are making a late push for a playoff spot and now have their final league game against CSK – who are also fighting for a playoff spot. A defeat will end RCB's campaign, but a win will keep them alive. But for this, RCB will have to beat CSK by more than 18 runs (if they score 200) to achieve their NRR on CSK. SRH and LSG can still overtake RCB, but by the time RCB faces CSK on Saturday, LSG will have played both the matches. If SRH and LSG lose their remaining games and do not go beyond 14 points and RCB beats CSK by the said margin, then both RCB and CSK can reach the top 4.

Delhi Capitals: DC are currently placed sixth on the IPL 2024 points table with 12 points.

remaining matches

Delhi Capitals' latest defeat – to RCB – means they are more or less out of the playoff race. DC can reach 14 points with one game remaining against LSG. While there is a possibility that SRH, LSG, CSK and RCB could all finish with 14 points, DC does not have the highest NRR. They will lose on that account. Heavy losses to SRH in their last two games, CSK beating RCB, and LSG losing their two games are the best-case scenario for DC to achieve quality, but that's more wishful thinking than logical reasoning. It is not going to happen!

Lucknow Super Giants – LSG are currently placed seventh on the IPL 2024 points table with 12 points.

remaining matches

CSK and RCB's wins on Sunday have made things difficult for LSG. Their NRR of -0.769 is the worst among the teams still competing for a playoff spot, and it could hurt them even if they win their remaining two games. They can go up to 16 points, but for a playoff spot, they will hope that SRH lose both their games and remain on 14 points, while CSK loses to RCB and remain on 14 points. In that case, LSG could make the playoffs as the third-place team. But, if SRH wins at least one of their games and CSK beats RCB, then even if LSG wins both their matches, they will still not be able to make it to the top 4 base NRR.

Gujarat Titans-GT is currently at 8th position in the points table with 10 points.

remaining matches

With a 35-run win over CSK, GT avoided being out of the playoff race for the time being. Now, with 10 points in their account and two matches left, they can reach 14 points and still be in contention for a playoff spot. But their NRR is very bad, and it is only mathematically that GT is still alive.

Mumbai Indians-MI are currently at 9th position in the points table with 8 points.

remaining matches

Mumbai Indians have officially become the first team to be eliminated from the IPL 2024 playoff race, and they will be looking to avoid the wooden spoon this year.

Punjab Kings-PBKS are currently at 10th position in the points table with 8 points.

remaining matches

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    cricketnext staff

    A team of reporters, writers and editors bringing you news, analysis, features and more

    first published: May 13, 2024, 07:25 IST


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