IPL 2024 Playoff Scenario – How can RCB finish in the top four? What about CSK?

With ten matches left, only KKR have secured a place in the top four, while MI and PBKS are out

There is still hope for RCB AFP/Getty Images

With only ten matches left in the league stage of IPL 2024, only one Kolkata Knight Riders is assured of qualification, while two teams – Mumbai Indians and Punjab Kings are out. Here's a look at the remaining teams' playoff prospects.

Chennai Super Kings

Played: 12, Points: 12, NRR: 0.491
Remaining matches: RR(H), RCB(A)

With four losses in their last six matches, CSK still have a lot to do to ensure a top-four finish. However, wins in their remaining two games will almost certainly ensure qualification, as their net run rate is still 0.491 despite the 35-run defeat to Gujarat Titans. This is a big relief for Delhi Capitals at -0.316, who can also reach 16 if they win their last two matches.

The Super Kings, however, will have to deal with a quick turnaround as they next face Rajasthan Royals at home on Sunday. If they lose, they could be out as any one of RR, Kolkata Knight Riders, Sunrisers Hyderabad and Delhi Capitals or Lucknow Super Giants could finish on 16 or more points.

If they finish on 14, their best bet would be that SRH and DC lose their remaining games and LSG lose to Mumbai Indians to remain on 14. Again, their superior net run rate will ensure that CSK finish third, ahead of the other two teams. 14.

gujarat titans

Played: 12, Points: 10, NRR: -1.063
Remaining matches: KKR (H), SRH (A)

Even with these two points against CSK, qualification is extremely difficult for GT, as their net run rate is a dreadful -1.063. Their best case would be a 14-point finish and a battle for the last two spots with three other teams. At the current net run rate, GT's best chance would be if those three teams are SRH (who are already on 14), DC and LSG. GT will still need a big win to stay above at least two of those teams.

Kolkata Knight Riders

Played: 12, Points: 18, NRR: 1.428
Remaining mats: GT(A), RR(A)

Already with 18 points and two matches still to go, KKR have qualified for the playoffs, and are almost assured of a top-two finish. To miss the top two, they would have to lose by a really big margin, and SRH would also need two big wins. For example, if KKR loses its last two games by a combined margin of 100 runs, SRH needs to win its remaining two games by a combined margin of 137 runs (assuming the first innings total in each game is 200).

Rajasthan Royals

Played: 11, Points: 16, NRR: 0.476
Remaining matches: CSK (A), PBKS (H), KKR (H)

RR need a win to ensure qualification. Even if all three of them lose, they will only be eliminated if their net run rate falls below that of the winner of the DC-LSG clash, assuming the winner finishes at 16. Like KKR, RR will be eyeing a top-two finish after dominating the points table for most of the season.

Travishack's devastating work against LSG has ensured a healthy NRR for SRH AFP/Getty Images

Sunrisers Hyderabad

Played: 12, Points: 14, NRR: 0.406
Remaining matches: GT(H), PBKS(H)

Their impressive win over LSG has taken SRH to 14 points at a net run rate of 0.406, giving them not only an excellent chance of qualifying but also a chance of finishing in the top two (although they need help from other results). Will be) that). Even another win would put them in a favorable position to qualify for the playoffs. They also have a good schedule, playing their last two matches at home against teams that are currently in the bottom three.

Lucknow Super Giants

Played: 12, Points: 12, NRR: -0.769
Remaining matches: DC (A), MI (A)

The defeat against SRH has significantly adversely affected LSG's net run rate, and may cause them to miss out on a top-four finish. Even with 16 points, they can be eliminated with RR, KKR, SRH and CSK finishing above them. Even if they beat DC but lose to Mumbai, it will be tough for them to qualify as the other teams in contention – SRH, DC, DC and Royal Challengers Bangalore – all have better run rates.

Delhi Capitals may face a late clash with LSG bcci

Delhi Capitals

Played: 12, Points: 12, NRR: -0.316
Remaining matches: RCB (A), LSG (H)

CSK's loss to GT is good news for the Capitals, but if CSK wins its last two matches, and if the top three teams advance to 16, they could also miss out on 16 points.

However, if DC beats RCB but loses to LSG, they can still finish in the top four, if LSG loses to Mumbai and if any of the other teams who are currently bottom 14 , does not reach that mark. Then, the battle for the fourth spot could be a straight fight between DC and LSG, both have 14 points and the former currently has the better run rate.

Royal Challengers Bangalore

Played: 12, Points: 10, NRR: 0.217
Remaining matches: DC (H), CSK (H)

RCB have made a late charge with four wins on the bounce, but even six consecutive wins may not be enough as four teams can still finish on 16 or more points. However, given their relatively healthy net run rate, they could also finish third with the following result combination: SRH and CSK lose both their matches, and LSG do not win more than one. Then RCB will have a good chance to overtake SRH in terms of net run rate and they will also be ahead of DC and LSG.

S Rajesh is the statistics editor of ESPNcricinfo. @rajeshstats

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