More snowfall expected in Tri-State area: How much snow will fall in New York, New Jersey and Connecticut next week


New York – After last winter, aka “the winter that wasn't”, snow lovers had high expectations for this winter To break the pattern of low snowfall,

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To their disappointment, No delivery this winter, only 2.3 inches of snowfall has been recorded so far. This matches the snowfall of the entire previous winter.

This winter has once again had mild temperatures and has resulted in more rain than snow.

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Readings every day this month have been above average and the heat is expected to continue through the weekend.

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Record high can be achieved on Saturday also.

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Given such mild patterns, the idea of ​​a blizzard seems highly unlikely. However, as we head into next week, the chances are increasing that one is in the cards.

Early next week, a decline in the jet stream will allow cooler air to filter into the region, making spring-like temperatures just a memory. Along with the cold air, snow is definitely on the table as a storm system continues to work its way through the area late Monday night into Tuesday.

Initially, the precipitation will start out as rain, however, as the storm deepens, it will be able to draw cold air towards itself, and hence, the rain will turn into snow.

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Unlike other storms this winter, forecast models this time are generally on the same page, with no major disparities in snow totals. When forecasting snowfall, it is very promising to see agreement between models.

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By Friday afternoon, there is a possibility of snowfall in coastal areas also. The US model is the most aggressive, showing about 6.5 inches of snow in Central Park and up to 1 foot in our northwestern suburbs.

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Its European counterpart, on the other hand, is a little less optimistic but also predicts good snowfall of about 5 inches in the city and close to 9 inches in the north and west.

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Either way, whatever snow falls will be heavy and wet. This type of snow, often called “heart attack snow,” can be especially dangerous for individuals with underlying health conditions, so caution will need to be taken for those in that group who choose to shovel. That heavy, wet snow, combined with winds gusting up to 40 mph, could cause power outages. Moderate coastal areas will also be a concern with this storm, especially on Tuesday morning.

Typically, February is the snowiest month of the year, yet we have not recorded any snowfall so far this February.

In fact, most local cities and towns are running double-digit losses this season. On average, about 10 inches of snow falls in February.

February is also the month that has seen some of the largest snow storms, including the Presidents Day Storm of 2003 that dropped over 20 inches of snow in the region. It is also the month that holds the record for the snowiest month ever. That was February 2010, when 36.9 inches fell.

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Snowfall and accumulation has proven extremely difficult over the years. It is even more difficult to have more than 2 inches of snowfall. The last time this happened was on January 29, 2022. Could this storm finally be the one to change this pattern? Climate science says yes, and our forecast models say the same.

The big question is whether nature will cooperate this time?

What to expect by region from Monday to Tuesday

CBS New York


Jersey Shore and Central New Jersey:

It's about to start raining, eventually turning into complete snowfall. Final totals: .75-1 inch of rain, 1-3 inches of snow. Winds are blowing at a speed of 40 miles per hour. Moderate coastal flooding and high surf may cause beach erosion.

long Island:

Starting as rain or mixed precipitation, changing to a mixture of rain and snow, then completely changing to snow. Final totals: .5-1 inch of rain, 3-7 inches of snowfall. Winds are blowing at a speed of 40 miles per hour. Moderate coastal flooding and high surf may cause beach erosion.

CBS New York


NYC:

It's going to start out raining, then a rain/snow mix, then changing to full blown snow. Final totals: .5-1 inch of rain, 3-6 inches of snowfall. Winds are blowing at a speed of 35 miles per hour.

Hudson Valley, northern New Jersey:

This is where maximum snowfall is expected. Here, less mix with rain is forecast, although rain will start off. Snowfall totals averaged between 6-10 inches, with some locations possibly reaching a foot or more. Winds are blowing at a speed of 35 miles per hour.

CBS New York


Coastal Connecticut:

It's about to start raining, turning into a wintry mix, then full blown snow. There is a possibility of 4-7 inches of snowfall. Winds gusting up to 40 mph, as well as some moderate coastal flooding.


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