RCB vs DC, Qualification scenario of all teams after ft KKR, RR, CSK, SRH, RCB, DC, LSG, GT, MI, PBKS


IPL 2024: After RCB vs DC, 7 teams are fighting for 3 playoff spots. Here are the qualifying scenarios.

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IPL 2024: Let's take a look at the qualification scenarios for all the remaining contenders for the playoff places.

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Images: Changed by BCCI/The Quint

As we enter the last week of the league stage of the 2024 Indian Premier League (IPL), Kolkata Knight Riders are the only team to have confirmed their participation in the playoffs despite having played 61 matches. Mumbai Indians and Punjab Kings are the two teams that have been eliminated, making it a tough and tough battle among the seven teams for the three vacancies in the playoffs.

Currently the marks table is as follows:

IPL 2024 Points Table – As it is after RCB vs DC

Let's take a look at the qualification scenarios for all the teams:

Kolkata Knight Riders – 18 points (NRR: +1.428)

Gujarat Titans (13 May)

Rajasthan Royals (19 May)

eligibility scenario

Kolkata Knight Riders have already sealed their place in the playoffs and have become the first and so far the only team to do so in IPL 2024. Winning their last two matches would mean they finish the league stage in first place.

Even if they win a match, they are likely to finish first as only Rajasthan Royals can score 20 points and their NRR is very low. In any case, KKR will still play in Qualifier 1.

Unless Rajasthan Royals win their last two matches and Sunrisers Hyderabad does the same and wins the last two matches by a big margin, KKR will continue to play in Qualifier 1 even if they lose their next two matches.

Rajasthan Royals – 16 points (NRR: +0.349)

Punjab Kings (15 May)

Kolkata Knight Riders (19 May)

eligibility scenario

Victory in both the matches will give RR not only a place in the playoffs but also a ticket for Qualifier 1.

They will still qualify for the playoffs with just one win. However, their participation in Qualifier 1 will depend on the results of SRH's last two matches.

Even if they lose both the matches, RR are likely to qualify for the playoffs as only CSK, SRH and LSG can get 16 points, and LSG has a worse NRR. Hence, the Royals will be ahead unless Lucknow wins both their previous matches by huge margins, which will take both CSK and SRH to 16 points.

Chennai Super Kings – 14 points (NRR: +0.528)

Royal Challengers Bangalore – 18 May

eligibility scenario

If CSK wins then it will have 16 points. Due to their healthy NRR, 16 points will be enough to qualify for the playoffs, unless SRH also reaches 16 points and LSG wins both their last matches by incredibly large margins.

If CSK loses to RCB, they will be at the mercy of other teams. First of all, they have to hope that they lose by a narrow margin, so as to stay ahead of RCB on NRR. Still, they have to hope that either SRH loses their last two matches, or LSG loses at least one of their last two fixtures, while DC fails to win their last match by a huge margin.

Sunrisers Hyderabad – 14 points (NRR: +0.406)

Gujarat Titans – 16 May

Punjab Kings – 19th May

eligibility scenario

If SRH wins its last two matches, it will have 18 points and will be assured of a place in the playoffs. Depending on the results of Rajasthan, they can also play in Qualifier 1.

If SRH wins one of their few remaining fixtures, they are still likely to qualify for the playoffs unless CSK beats both RCB and LSG wins their last two matches by huge margins.

Should SRH not win any matches from here, they will have to hope for several favorable results – first, a CSK win over RCB, and then, at least a loss to LSG and even if DC wins their last match, But this should not happen by a large margin.

Royal Challengers Bengaluru – 12 points (NRR: +0.387)

Chennai Super Kings – 18 May

eligibility scenario

RCB will not only need a win against CSK, but they will also need to reduce the NRR gap by chasing the target of around 200 runs in 18.1 overs, or 18 runs if they are batting first and getting the same score. Will have to win from. If they succeed in doing so, RCB will have to hope that LSG do not win both their last matches, and DC do not win their last match by a margin never seen before in this competition.

Game over.

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Delhi Capitals – 12 points (NRR: -0.482)

Lucknow Super Giants- 14 May

eligibility scenario

Even if DC beats LSG in their last match, their chances of reaching the playoffs will still be slim. First of all they have to win by a big margin. Secondly, they have to hope that CSK beats RCB and SRH loses their last two matches by big margins.

Back to the drawing board for the IPL 2025 auction.

Lucknow Super Giants – 12 points (NRR: -0.769)

Delhi Capitals- 14 May

Mumbai Indians – 17 May

eligibility scenario

Despite having the worst NRR among the top 7 teams, Lucknow will qualify for the playoffs if they win their last two matches, provided RCB beats CSK. If CSK wins that match, SRH will have to lose their last two matches to make way for LSG.

If LSG wins one of their remaining two fixtures, their chances of qualification are practically zero due to their NRR.

Sayonara!

Gujarat Titans – 10 points (NRR: -1.063)

Kolkata Knight Riders – 13 May

Sunrisers Hyderabad – 16 May

eligibility scenario

It is only the mathematical purists who still keep Gujarat Titans in the race, because even if they win their last two fixtures, there are chances that they will miss the NRR. So, they have to first defeat KKR and SRH by unexpected margins.

Outside.

Same thing, but a little more forcefully.

Mumbai Indians – 8 points (NRR: -0.271)

Lucknow Super Giants- 17 May

They are already out of the running, but could help some teams by jeopardizing LSG's chances.

Punjab Kings – 8 points (NRR: -0.423)

Rajasthan Royals – 15 May

Sunrisers Hyderabad – 19 May

Like Mumbai Indians, Punjab Kings are already out of the race but can score imaginary brownie points by helping other teams.

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