The person who has correctly predicted the outcome of every US presidential election in the last 40 years says that Democrats should not abandon Biden after his debate disaster against Trump.


A political historian who has accurately predicted the outcome of every US general election for the past 40 years was asked whether the Democratic Party should drop Joe Biden after his terrible debate with Donald Trump last Thursday. .

After Biden's poor performance, many in the Democratic Party have begun to play the blame game, with some citing Biden's advisers' poor debate preparation to face Donald Trump and some replacing Biden before the election. What was demanded?

Dr. Alan Lichtman of American University, who has not yet made his official predictions for the November election, and previously said Trump's 34 felony convictions would have no effect on the 2024 election, told Democrats. warned not to deprive the 81-year-old Biden of the ticket. .

'It's a huge mistake,' he told CNN. 'They are not doctors. They don't know if Biden is physically fit for a second term.'

So-called experts and pundits are saying the same thing about Ronald Reagan, who ran for a second term at age 73, Dr. Lichtman said.

'He won 49 states, so it's all stupid nonsense,' he said.

“The same pundits who led us to the primroses of 2016 are giving terrible advice to Democrats,” he said.

'The spineless Democrats want to throw their own sitting president under the bus at the first sign of trouble. My goodness,' he said.

Lichtman's keys to simple true or false questions on party mandate, competition, power, third party, short-term economy, long-term economy, policy change, social unrest, scandal, foreign/military failure, foreign/military success, are based. Current Charisma and Challenger Charisma.

The historian relies on a formula he developed by analyzing the 1860 election with mathematician Vladimir Kelis Boruk. He has used it to accurately predict the outcome of nine presidential elections since 1984.

Using 13 questions called 'keys', Lichtman keeps personal preferences out of his predictions and was one of the few people to correctly predict Trump's victory in 2016 when polls and Political commentators favored Democrat Hillary Clinton.

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